Showing posts with label UMass. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UMass. Show all posts

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Final thoughts from Week 3


No matter if it was a 50-point win or a 17-point loss, both Michigan and Michigan State seemed disappointed when Saturday concluded.
Here are some closing thoughts from the weekend.

Notre Dame 20, MSU 3
I was quite surprised that Notre Dame won so convincingly. I thought it would be close, because I didn’t think the MSU offense would be able to dominate, but I didn’t see the defense allowing 20 points.
Don’t get me wrong, the defense still played well enough to win, allowing only 300 total yards, but they didn’t apply pressure to the quarterback and allowed a few big runs.
But the defense wasn’t the issue. The issue was the offense, and it was everyone on the offense.
We all knew that there were concerns about quarterback Andrew Maxwell and the inexperienced receivers heading into the season.
What I expected is that the offensive line would make up for some of those issues. However, on Saturday, the line was the big problem. They failed to open up running lanes and protect Maxwell. Then, when the Spartans had to become a passing team, Maxwell wasn’t comfortable.
The receivers dropped some passes and Maxwell seemed rattled, but this team needs the line to be stronger. I know that the Spartans were without Fonoti, but this is an issue that has been consistent this year.
Le’Veon Bell has been getting plenty of carries and has 357 yards rushing, but his ypc is just 4.4. Bell has to do most of the work to get his yardage.
The Spartans appear to be a team that is going to go as far as their offensive line can take them.

Michigan 63, UMass 13
Michigan looked good for the most part, but that was expected in this game.
Still, the mood after the game was disappointment from coach Brady Hoke.
I think Hoke saw what most of us saw. He saw that Michigan wasn’t overpowering UMass on the front lines. The Minutemen had a season-high rushing total against the Wolverines and Michigan didn’t have much success running the ball up the middle.
Denard Robinson was solid rushing the ball again, but some of his rushes came on scrambles and others came from getting outside the tackles.
Fitz Toussaint had 85 yards rushing, but on 15 carries. Against a team like UMass, you would like to see that average (5.7 ypc) a little higher.
What is also standing out is that Michigan is really lacking in playmakers outside of Robinson. Not just on offense, but defense too. I wrote a column about it in today’s Oakland Press
The Wolverines aren’t getting a lot of pressure on the quarterback from their defensive line and the back seven aren’t creating turnovers. The Wolverines still don’t have an interception this season through three games.
Next week should paint the real picture of what “Team 133” is going to be. I think the Wolverines have the speed to deal with Notre Dame’s defense, but the line is going to have to play much better.
It may take another shootout to win, but a win at Notre Dame right now would be the biggest win any team in the state would have this season.

Friday, September 14, 2012

Predictions for Week 3


UMass at Michigan, 3:30 p.m.
It seems impossible to conjure up a way that Michigan loses this game. UMass is bad. In fact, UMass may be the worst FBS team in the country. The Wolverines should have their way with the Minutemen and it shouldn’t take long for this game to get out of hand. I see Michigan winning easy, but the point spread for the game is around 45 points. I can never feel good about giving any team that many points. There are just too many things that can go wrong in that scenario. I see Michigan winning, but don’t know if they can cover the lofty odds.
Michigan 50, UMass 10

Notre Dame at MSU, 8 p.m.
This game should be exciting and filled with emotion. Both teams are off to strong starts and hopeful for a 10-win season. I think the fact that the Spartans are at home will really be the deciding factor in their victory. I see Everett Golson struggling in this one. It will be a tough environment for a freshman quarterback. I don’t see the MSU offense having great success, but doing enough to stay ahead of the Irish. With the lead, the MSU defense will make enough plays to keep the Spartans on top. It won’t be a pretty victory, but that is becoming MSU’s style.
Michigan State 20, Notre Dame 13

Keys to victory for MSU/Notre Dame, Michigan/UMass


We are just 24 hours away from another busy Saturday of college football. Here is a look at my three keys to victory for Michigan and Michigan State.

3 Keys for Michigan vs. UMass
Start Fast – UMass doesn’t have much to offer in this game, so Michigan needs to put the Minutemen away quickly. This is a game that should provide an opportunity for a lot of backups and underclassmen to get snaps, so it is important for Michigan to not let this game linger on into the second half.
Find Some Confidence On Defense – The Wolverines have not been strong on defense, particularly against the run and on the defensive line. Michigan needs to find a little confidence this week in that regard. The Wolverines should be able to overpower UMass up front and get into the backfield. Brady Hoke said he wants to see his guys do a better job of getting off blocks this week. If they can’t do that against UMass, there may not be a team they will be able to do it against.
Stay Healthy – This isn’t something Michigan has a lot of control over, but in a game like this, you don’t want to have anyone get injured. Don’t have Denard Robinson take too many hits. Give him the opportunity to make plays, but look to establish Fitzgerald Toussaint and other offensive weapons other than Denard. Also, as said before, get the backups some reps in this game when it gets out of hand.

3 Keys for MSU vs. Notre Dame
Test Golson – Notre Dame quarterback Everett Golson is playing in his first true road game under the lights. I am sure he will have some nerves and there is a possibility for mistakes to happen for the Notre Dame offense. The Spartans need to pressure Golson early with different blitz packages and make him have to make quick decisions. The MSU secondary is strong enough to play 1-on-1 coverage in this game, so don’t give Golson time to look for openings. If he is rushed into throwing, it should lead to turnovers.
Win The Battle Up Front – This is talking about the offensive line. So far, MSU has been able to run the ball well, but the Spartans aren’t exactly gashing defenses either. Bell has been steady, but is picking up yards in small chunks. The Notre Dame defense has been very strong thus far, but is untested. MSU will need to be able to establish Bell in this game in order to control the tempo and keep Andrew Maxwell from being under fire all contest. The Irish had four sacks last week against Purdue and forced the Boilermakers into just 19 of 37 passing. If the Spartans have to rely on Maxwell to win, he may not be up to the task.
Special Teams Need To Be Special – I expect points to be at a premium in this game, so every yard will count. Field position will play a big role, as will field goals. The Irish have yet to hit a field goal past 40 yards this season, but their coverage units have been strong. Dan Conroy has a 50-yard field goal this season for MSU, but he is 0-2 from 30-49 yards. Conroy will need to be on his game. Return man Nick Hill could also be a big asset for the Spartans. He is averaging over 15 yards per punt return, and a big return could mean the difference between a win and a loss on Saturday.

Thursday, September 13, 2012

What Notre Dame/UMass media is saying about Saturday

We are just a few days away from the third games of the season for MSU and Michigan. Here is a look at what the Notre Dame and UMass media is saying about Saturday’s action.

MSU vs. Notre Dame
Most of the talk in Irish country is about Notre Dame’s new affiliation to the ACC, and what it means for football scheduling going forward. Certainly that could impact Michigan and Michigan State in the future.
For now, the talk at Notre Dame is centered on the quarterback position, as Tommy Rees had to fill in last week for an injured Everett Golson. The Chicago Tribune has a story on Rees and his role with the Irish.
Golson injured his thumb against Purdue last week and Rees filled in, leading Notre Dame on its final drive to a 27-yard field goal, which won the game, 20-17.
Despite Rees’ play, Kelly is sticking with Golson as his quarterback against Michigan State. It seems to be the logical choice.
No matter which quarterback Kelly has on the field, they will be facing the toughest defense they have met all season. With Golson under center, you have to expect some mistakes as he heads into his first true road game of his college football career.

Michigan vs. UMass
UMass hasn’t had much to be excited about in its first season as a FBS program.
The Minutemen have lost to both Connecticut and Indiana by a combined score of 82-6 this season, all while averaging just 161.5 yards of offense per game.
Ron Chimelis, of The Republican, writes about UMass’ struggles in becoming a FBS program.
Chimelis says that now that UMass is a FBS program, it has actually become more of an underdog than when it was a FCS school. The Minutemen actually gave Michigan a scare in 2010, losing 42-37. But, that team seems to be nowhere in sight.
Chimelis paints a grim picture of the current state of UMass football and it appears Michigan should have a walk in the park on Saturday.

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Little Brother Scale after Week 2


Week 2 of the college football season was an opportunity for progress for both Michigan and Michigan State.
The Spartans were hoping to see improvement in their offense against a weak Central Michigan defense while Michigan was hoping to make strides on both sides of the ball against Air Force.
Michigan seemed to find its offense last week, racking up 422 yards. Denard Robinson looked like the Denard Robinson we know, as he rushed for 218 yards and threw for 208 with four total touchdowns.
Wolverine fans should feel better knowing that Michigan should be able to move the ball going forward. There aren’t many defenses like Alabama’s in the Big Ten.
What does have to concern Michigan fans is that Air Force put up 25 points and 417 yards on the Wolverines. Only three times last year did a team put up 25 points or more against Michigan and now that has already happened twice in two games.
The loss up front from last season has clearly been an issue for Michigan. The Wolverines need to be able to rely on their defense in close games and I don’t think that is something they can do right now. As we know, Michigan’s offense is still limited when facing a fast and physical defense. The Wolverines still have a few of those defenses on the schedule, so the Michigan defense will need to step up in those games. Playing UMass this week should help create some confidence on the defensive side of the ball.
For MSU, the Spartans dominated Central Michigan and didn’t allow a touchdown on defense for the second straight contest.
It appears the Spartans’ defense is as good as advertised, but this week against Notre Dame will really tell us if the Spartans have a top 5 defense.
Andrew Maxwell and the young MSU receivers made improvements against the Chippewas as well, but it appears that the Spartans have a simple formula for success.
MSU will use its defense to keep the score low, manage the game offensively with a steady diet of Le’Veon Bell, and put Maxwell in low-stress situations where he can succeed and not cost Michigan State the game.
Right now, MSU is much better built to play its style of football than Michigan is to play its style.
For that reason, Michigan fans have to be growing more concerned about Oct. 20, and I see the Spartans taking another slight step up in the Little Brother Scale
LITTLE BROTHER SCALE: MSU 17¾, Michigan 14¼ 

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Hoke/Dantonio Quotes from Tuesday's Teleconference


Here are some quotes from Brady Hoke and Mark Dantonio from Tuesday's Big Ten Coaches Teleconference.

Brady Hoke
Opening Thoughts
We are looking forward to go out again and play at home. Our students were great and they showed a lot of support for our team. We are happy to win the game against Air Force, against a good football team, but we have a long way to go as a football team with our improvement each week that we need to have to be playing Michigan football.
On if he’s more concerned or more encouraged after these first two games
Probably a little bit of both, to be honest with you. There is some concern there, that we need to play better on both sides of the ball up front. We need to block better. We need to be a little more physical at the point of attack. From a defensive prospective, when you give up the rushing yards that we have so far, (we want to see) our defensive front playing and getting off blocks and being disruptive.
How he would like to see Devin Gardner apply his QB past and put it into being a WR
We obviously would like to see that. That helps him a little bit, knowing what Denard is seeing and what he is looking for. I think he is just scratching the surface of being the kind of receiver we need him to be.
Is it difficult to keep your team focused this week given the struggles of UMass?
No, I don’t think so. I think you see some good things they do from an offensive and defensive perspective. I know Charley (Molnar), he is going through growing pains, like we all do, and growing a program. We’ve got to get so much better as a program and our improvement has to be something that can be measured from week to week to week. We have a lot of respect (for UMass) and from all phases of the game, we need to get better.
On what he would like to see improve on the defense this week:
First and foremost, our run defense. (We want to see us) doing a much better job at the point of attack and a much better job of getting off blocks. That’s one of the things that has been discouraging. We have done a decent job of taking on blocks and pad level, but getting off blocks, I don’t think we’ve done a good job with that at all.
Did he expect these defensive issues coming into the season?
I think we all knew that we were going to be different up front defensively with three guys graduating that started and played a lot of football and were good football players. We are kind of a work in progress with some guys that haven’t played much football getting opportunities and with some guys that played some, but haven’t been full-time starters.
Do you have to be patient with so many young guys playing?
I don’t think you are any more patient. They are playing Division 1 football and recruited to play Division 1 football. There are expectations that every coach has for how they want to play the game, so when you look at it that way, we have to just keep improving. We have to keep teach fundamentals and technique…the little details of what you want to do on both sides of the ball. That is probably the biggest thing, when you’ve got young players, is them understanding how you prepare and the things you need to do to play your best.
On the “slow start” of the Big Ten this year
I don’t know about that. I think “slow start” or however you want to say it…you can spin it however you want to but we’ve got a great conference and we’ve got great student-athletes who are working hard and preparing. I’m not speaking for everybody, but our conference, at the end of the day, will hold up to anybody.

Mark Dantonio
Le’Veon Bell’s development as a runner and Brad Salem’s (RB Coach) impact
Le’Veon has always had great vision, great cutting ability and the ability to get positive yards after contact. That is one of the things he’s done since he’s come here. I think the more experience the guy gets, the more confidence a guy gets, the more instinctive he becomes. Coach Salem does a tremendous job in terms of articulating the finer points of a running back’s play or the exact….where to press or what hole to press or what gap to press in certain runs. The pass protection, the techniques and all the different things, the nuisances really of playing the game. But, inevitably it comes down to the player being able to execute and Le’Veon is able to do that at a very, very high level.
On the Big Ten’s relationship with the MAC
I think that we have had a great relationship with the Mid-American Conference. Most Big Ten schools do. I think for the most part, the in-state schools in the Big Ten actively try to play the in-state schools in their respective states. I think you look around the conference and that is pretty much the norm. (The MAC) is outstanding football. Great coaching. A lot of players you already know about, although they maybe didn’t have the opportunity to come to a Big Ten school, they were highly recruited guys and they settled at their respective schools. I think (the relationship) is a positive. It’s challenging, just like playing anybody, it’s challenging. There are some very, very good players in that conference.
Going back to the Notre Dame game 2 years ago, and the “Little Giants” call. Had he ever done it before in a game situation like that?
On the last play in the game? In overtime? No. I have never done that. Not many have, probably. As I have said before, it was about the timing of the play. We had worked on it. We had gotten sacked. We were just outside what I thought was a for-sure makeable field goal. We were just over 50 percent, I thought, if we executed the fake. I really felt like we had a cool customer. We had a guy under center, in Aaron Bates, who we had used on a lot of fakes in the previous four years. At least four or five. I felt like he was a guy who wouldn’t panic. If things broke down, he wouldn’t panic, and that’s exactly what happened. Things broke down a little bit and he had to move right or left. He moved right, stay composed and delivered.
Is there a way to prepare to make that call or is it just about feel?
I don’t know if there is any time to prepare for it. The decision had to be made very quickly. As I remember the clock went all the way down to almost zero, but we got it off. We just felt like it wasn’t a done deal. It was a 48 or 49-yard kick. Dan Conroy was a redshirt sophomore. It was his first big, big game. It was his first kick with the game on the line. I just felt like the pressure had to come to me and not to him, and that’s what we did. It’s just a game, just a game.
On the talk that MSU is carrying the banner for the Big Ten right now
I think that we have played two games. It is very, very early in the season. Last year, as I remember, we didn’t play well at Notre Dame and people sort of wrote us off. We ended up No. 9, or something like that, in the nation. People will respond. That is the nature of football, the competitive nature of it. People are going to respond and reset things and reset their compass and move forward. I think it is still very competitive in the country right now in terms of winning and losing football games. It is extremely competitive and there are so many different teams, that if their matchups go one way, the game goes the other way.
How much clearer is the receiving depth chart now compared to training camp?
When we came into camp we had quite a few players that we were looking at and saying ‘where is he at in the scheme of things’. I think now it is a little cleaner. We have designated eight guys that will travel and all eight of those guys may play. That is the reality of it. Because we are young at that position, those players need game experience to show where they are at. They can do things in practice, but they need game experience to sort of bring things along, in terms of providing that. The practice time is obviously very important as well. You have to evaluate the practice time, but all those guys will have an opportunity to be involved and play. Certainly we have three or four guys that are ahead of that group, but the other guys will play as well.

Monday, September 10, 2012

Week 2 Recap & Week 3 Odds


This past weekend saw a pair of wins in state and we were able to get a better idea of what Michigan and Michigan State are going to be this season. Here are a few final thoughts from the weekend, and if you didn't read my column on MSU from the CMU game, you can read it here.

Michigan defense continues to struggles
Michigan fans have to be a little nervous about the Michigan defense allowing 417 yards at home to Air Force. Perhaps it was the triple option that caused the problems, but certainly you have to expect better from this unit based on last season. Right now they are giving up 424 total yards and 261 rushing yards per game.

Denard is still Denard
Robinson was able to get back to his old self on Saturday, throwing for over 200 yards while rushing for 218 and two touchdowns. This is the Robinson we have grown accustomed to and the one that should be around most of the season. Not many teams have the defensive skill that Alabama does. The Tide was able to contain Robinson’s speed and force him to just be a passer. When he can be the running threat he was against Air Force, it allows him to be more successful as a passer. This week against UMass should see Robinson put up big numbers again.

MSU Defense still strong
The Spartans did not allow a touchdown on defense on Saturday against Central Michigan. That is two games without a TD from the opposing offense. The Spartans are also allowing just 225 total yards per game, which ranks eighth in the country. Of teams that have played two games, they are sixth in the nation in fewest yards allowed. The Spartans are going to rely on the defense this season and hope for continued progress from Andrew Maxwell and the offense.

We have a Big Ten favorite
Five Big Ten teams are 2-0 and it would be hard to say any of them are playing better than Michigan State. Ohio State has looked impressive, but the Buckeyes didn’t slow down an offense like Boise State. Wisconsin has looked like a shell of its old self, which is really surprising. Nebraska was unable to make the plays it needed to against UCLA and continues to struggle away from Lincoln. There is still plenty of football to be played, but MSU looks to be threatening to contend for the Big Ten once again.

Week 3 Odds
Here is a listing of the odds for this week’s games.
Michigan -45.5 vs. UMass
Michigan State -3.5 vs. Notre Dame
UMass has lost both games by a combined score of 83-6 to the likes of Connecticut and Indiana. This should be a game for Michigan to gel on offense and defense and build some confidence heading into the trip to South Bend.
Michigan State faces an offense with some speed that could pose problems. The Irish have allowed just 27 points over two games, so this could be a defensive showcase.

Monday, August 13, 2012

A closer look at non-conference play for MSU & Michigan


The college football season is getting closer and closer with each day.
We are a little under three weeks away from the opening night of games, so I thought I would take a look at both Michigan's & MSU’s non-conference schedules.

Michigan
Toughest Game – Sept. 1 vs. Alabama - Clearly there is no tougher non-conference game in the country than Michigan’s season opener with Alabama at Cowboys Stadium. Though the Crimson Tide lost a great deal from last season’s BCS National Championship squad, there is no doubt that they should be fully reloaded. A win for Michigan seems very improbable, as they are still in the process of getting back into the elite national picture. On the national scale, a win over Alabama would send a huge message that the Wolverines are “back”.
Easiest Game – Sept. 15 vs. UMass – While UMass has had some success in football, they are making the jump from the FCS to the FBS this season. The Wolverines should have little trouble blowing the Minutemen out of the water at home.
Trap Game – Sept. 8 vs. Air Force – Following what should be a physical battle with Alabama, Michigan returns home the next week to face the Falcons. Air Force has had a winning record the last five seasons and they run the triple option, an offense that can be tough to prepare for when you don’t see it often.
Realistic Record – 3-1 – Michigan also makes the dreaded trip to Notre Dame on Sept. 22. I think the Wolverines should go 3-1 in non-conference play if they hope to have a successful season. A 2-2 start would feel like a step back from last year, but winning against Alabama or at Notre Dame will be a tough task.

Michigan State
Toughest Game – Sept. 15 vs. Notre Dame – While Boise State has been stronger on the national scale, I suspect the Broncos won’t quite be the same given all they have lost. Notre Dame has high expectations this year, as do the Spartans. With the game being in East Lansing, this should be one MSU wins. But, you can never count out Brian Kelly and the Irish.
Easiest Game – Sept. 22 vs. Eastern Michigan – The Spartans host the Eagles at home to close out non-conference play. While Ron English has made some strides with EMU, the Michigan State defense should be able to easily shutdown that run-heavy offense.
Trap Game – Sept. 8 at Central Michigan – I know, I know, what a surprise. But, when you look at this game objectively, it really is a trap game. First, this game takes place between the meetings with Boise State and Notre Dame. Second, this game is in Mt. Pleasant. CMU considers it the biggest game in the history of their stadium. That is a tough environment for any team to step into. While the Chippewas have struggled in two years under former MSU assistant Dan Enos, they return a lot of starters this season. I don’t expect CMU to pull off the upset, but I think the setting could make this game a tough one for the Spartans to get past.
Realistic Record – 4-0 – The Spartans have the luxury that the Wolverines don’t in that their two tough games come at home and not on the road. Because of that, Michigan State can go 4-0. Does that mean they will? No. Notre Dame could certainly trip them up, as could Boise State, if the Broncos’ first-year starters can have an immediate impact. Anything less than 3-1 in this stretch would be a disappointment for MSU.